Carnage before Christmas

[Keybored]

Tonight there will be LYNCH, KILL, VIG deaths (assuming no saves).
A mis-lynch + mis-vig would put d2 at 6v4.
A snap Wolf-Hotshot could then make it 5v4.

Vill-Hotshots holding off till tomorrow makes odds better for them.
But V-HS's could be victims b4 tomorrow.

Village Hotshots should shoot today, yah?
Wouldn't that help both Voting and Vig-ing?

[Hoopy]

Tonight there will be LYNCH, KILL, VIG deaths (assuming no saves).
A mis-lynch + mis-vig would put d2 at 6v4.
A snap Wolf-Hotshot could then make it 5v4.

Vill-Hotshots holding off till tomorrow makes odds better for them.
But V-HS's could be victims b4 tomorrow.

Village Hotshots should shoot today, yah?
Wouldn't that help both Voting and Vig-ing?

If both village Hotshots miss today we're at 7-4, then even if the bodyguard blocks the wolf kill we're at 6-4 anyway.

Suppose the vig fires and misses, wolves win with the hotshot kill next day.

I'm leaning towards 1 hotshot firing today then reevaluating tomorrow.