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Flopped bottom set in CO

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  1. #1
    Once was from blind position, the other two times from IP against EP raise, LP 3b.

    Curious to know why you don't have JJ in your initial analysis? I personally would 3b JJ on the button, but I see plenty of people who see a flop and then start playing it when no overcards come (in fact have won some nice pots with KK/AA from guys who thought their jacks were good on a low flop).
    A slow played top set is also commonly seen here

    I had similar Eq calculations to you but didn't have T8s as often and JJ more.

    So the play from here went on as:

    Hero calls

    River 7 clubs

    Hero checks, BTN bets all in (~260BB)

    Thoughts on his range now?
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by renegaderob1 View Post
    Curious to know why you don't have JJ in your initial analysis?
    because MP iso'd. hes fairly aggressive and BTN stats show some aggression too. I would expect JJ to be in his squeezing range since 2 of the 3 OOP players hes facing are 200+BBs deep.

    OTR we have like 40%, kind of a gross river, especially for 178 BBs (our stack) with 323 eff. in the pot. we need to be good 35.5% to make the call. if we have 40% we should call but being this deep stats get skewed a bunch, he might ONLY take this like with nutty hands. which means were crushed a lot. I would super tank fold. then just walk away for 10 mins and do jumping jacks or something. lol its a pretty sick spot.
    "The harder you work, the luckier you get." ~ courtesy of my fortune cookie from china king

    "One of the best pieces of advice I've ever read in this forum was three words long...

    bet fucking fold." Ong

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