**** Elections thread *****

[kingnat]

Stick a fork in Hill-dawg, she's fucking done. Bush is done too. Neither of them know it. Bush will find out sooner. Hill-dawg will find out on Nov 4th. If there was a mildly credible candidate running against her, she'd lose the nomination, but their bench is as deep as a valley is tall.

Rubio wins all. Bank it.

I'll take the field against Rubio.

[wufwugy]

I'll take the field against Rubio.

Yeah at this point I'm starting to agree. Granted, now is not the time he would breakout, and he'll have ample opportunity to do just that later.

I now think it's going to be Bush. I overestimated how well Walker would do outside of the Midwest and how important it is to the base to not nominate a Senator. Bush probably places in IA, takes top two in NH, then Graham endorses him and the establishment rallies and he wins SC then the string of southern states.

But now that I'm saying it, I think it's not going to look anything like that. It'll be a mess. There could be like 6 big names left in the race even after NV. Bush probably has the most equity, but it could last quite a while and one of many could take it.