|
 Originally Posted by spoonitnow
First of all, nobody even knows who the fuck Mark Levin is. Second of all, Cruz blundered terribly with the NY values line, and Trump's support has been rising ever since he made it in every major poll at the expense of Cruz's support.
Trump and Cruz are dead even in Iowa right now because of that exchange. Tell me again how that's all a part of Cruz's master plan and he totally suckered Trump in lol?
Cruz has dropped 5-6 points in Iowa since Tuesday. He got his ass handed to him thanks to his enormous fuck-up against Trump. Take a look: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...ucus-3194.html
Moreover, Trump is absolutely dominating in NH: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...mary-3350.html
Cruz's "hook, line and sinker" most likely just costed him any reasonable chance at winning the primary. When people look back at where Cruz went wrong, it's that single comment that they're going to point to as the inflection point.
Where's that WHOLE REPUBLICAN BASE at? Sure as shit isn't in Iowa or NH. Trump's polling higher than ever nationwide too.
people who vote in republican primaries know who mark levin is.
there have been zero major polls conducted since the ny values line.
cruz and trump have been dead even for a few poll cycles now.
trump has always been strong in new hampshire and he is by a large margin the most likely to win it. cruz isn't trying to compete in it because his path to victory doesn't involve nh. plus the way it awards delegates, even if cruz finished a strong second, he would get next to nothing. cruz may hit the trail in nh after iowa like everybody does, but he's best served by mostly skipping nh and clearing the field by winning iowa and the sec primary.
the ny values thing only helps cruz in a primary (as well as a general). his path to victory in both do not involve any votes from anybody who is sympathetic to nyc. a surprising majority of conservatives (like >90% care about the values distinction between ny and other places).
strong nationwide numbers relative to not as strong statewide numbers hurt trump. they reflect media attention more than anything and once the votes come in he will underperform and that underperformance will create negative momentum.
|