The Nonfiction Book Club

[Savy]

- Humans suck at risk management and prediction. We have significant trouble assessing risks related to outlier events, stuff that happens very rarely. We either vastly over- or underestimate their frequency. This is the main message of the book.

Examples of both?

- Most change in human history has been due to black swan events, that is, unforeseen hugely influential singular events, rather than small incremental changes.

What does he mean by this? Can you give an example? My issue here is with the word most.