All I've been hearing is that the Brains Truss has it all but wrapped up.
I've only got an inside view from one of these party member meetings. It's a very small sample size, obviously, so you can't take much from it. But it seems that Sunak is putting to bed any doubts people had about him, while Truss is not really connecting with the people who she needs votes from. Maybe she'll do better in other places and maybe Sunak won't, so it's obviously not a done deal based on one conversation I had with a relative. But he is winning voters over in my area.