Operation I like my chicks in twos (NSFW)

[pdk1010]

NSFW

$0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG bignevola ($8.46)
UTG+1 markentosh ($5.41)
CO Hero ($8.18)
BTN DarthT8r ($5)
SB muchachit960 ($1.71)
BB murphy0013 ($4.44)


Dartht8r is 11/7 over 28 hands with 100%folds on flops he's seen...nitty TAG
muchachit960 70/9 over 32 hands seems passive calls when he gets a piece folds when he doesnt
Pre-Flop: ($0.07, 6 players) Hero is CO
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, DarthT8r calls $0.20, muchachit960 calls $0.18, 1 fold

preflop: darth is tag so what hands is he flatting and not 3betting here

JJ-88,AQs-A2s,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,64s+,54s,AQ o,KQo

the fish is playing all broadways,all pp's, any 2 suited cards, and any ace and prolly some worse offsuit hands some of the time

22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q2s+,J2s+,T2s+,92s+,82s+,72s+,62s+,5 2s+,42s+,32s,A2o+,KTo+,QTo+,JTo

Hand 0: 67.820% { AcAd }
Hand 1: 18.051% { JJ-88, AQs-A2s, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, AQo, KQo }
Hand 2: 14.129% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }

although this is obvious in the interest of being thorough i did it anyway

Flop: ($0.65, 3 players)
muchachit960 checks, Hero bets $0.50, DarthT8r raises to $1.90, muchachit960 goes all-in $1.51, Hero raises to $5, DarthT8r goes all-in $2.90

Flop: standard cbet and i get raised he does this with

TT-99,AhQh,AhJh,K9s+,QdJd,QhJh,T9s,8h6h,7h6h

Board: Th 9h Kc

Hand 0: 32.982% { AcAd }
Hand 1: 67.018% { TT-99, AhQh, AhJh, K9s+, QdJd, QhJh, T9s, 8h6h, 7h6h }

Final analysis:

I have represented strenght preflop and flop,nit Tagg knows my range is very strong, yet raises anyway, against this range i have little equity

the ev of this call(if i make call i will have to call the rest of his stack later, also i assume fish binked nut hand so i will only consider rest of TAGGs stack):


33%(.3.29)=1.08 *3.29 is .39 more than fishs AI +2.9 behind for tag
67%(-3.29)=-2.20

1.96-2.88= -1.12


therefore calling is super bad, raising is worse. EASY FOLD

Final Pot: $11.96