| 
		 
	 | 
		
			
			
			
			
				  Check my math!
			
			
					
					
			
				
					
						Hey, I was hoping some more experienced players could give me some feedback on this exercise spoony gave me: 
 
Here is the scenario: 
 
 
My raise would be 0.14 into a 0.19 pot, so: 0.14/(0.14+0.19) = 33% 
I need the villain to fold more than 33% of the time for the bluff to be profitable. 
 
I have come up with an arbitrary range for the villain.  I see all sorts in 2NL so I don't think this is too unrealistic... 
 
Villain Preflop range: 99+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,AJo+,KJo+,QJo 
Meaning that (taking into account that I hold AK) he has 118/1176 combos that he calls with = 10.03%  
 
Villain Postflop range (in response to my raise): QQ+,99,AQs,KQs,QJs,AQo,KQo,QJo 
54/1176 combos = 4.59% 
 
So villain is folding 54/118 to my raise = 46% of the time. 46 > 33, so the bluff is profitable.  
 
Criticism would be much appreciated! Cheers big ears
					 
				 
				
			 
			 
		  
	 |