|
Flopped boat counterfeited on the river
BB ($26.07)
UTG ($25.35)
Hero (MP) ($43.86)
CO ($26.68)
Button ($12.58)
SB ($24.75)
Preflop: Hero is MP with 6 , 6
UTG bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 4 folds
Flop: ($1.85) 7 , 7 , 6 (2 players)
UTG bets $1, Hero calls $1
Turn: ($3.85) 5 (2 players)
UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2
River: ($7.85) 7 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
Total pot: $7.85 | Rake: $0.35
Results:
UTG had 9 , 9 (full house, sevens over nines).
Hero mucked 6 , 6 (full house, sevens over sixes).
Outcome: UTG won $7.50
[/B]
Ok, yo, this isn't a bad beat story, I'm interested in your opinion on whether or not my reasoning in flatting this all the way was valid.
Villain is 18/14, cbets 60% on the flop. On the flop, it's just a cbet. Maybe he has a hand that I want him to improve so he'll get in a big pot, maybe he has a PP that he won't call a raise on this flop with, or may call a raise then shut down on later streets. He can't really have a piece of the flop here, except in the exceedingly unlikely cases of:
1. someone raising 14 percent of preflop hands has raised 76s UTG
or
2.he's got 77 and I'm losing my stack.
Once he bets again on the turn, I figure he has a medium PP, so I flat again, because I want to raise him at the river when the pot's bigger. I don't figure I'm getting much value here by raising the turn, but if the pot is twice the size at the river and he half-pots it again, I can probably minraise back and expect a call, out of curiosity if nothing else.
I know it's a sucky way to lose a pot, but that's irrelevant here, of course it's obvious once the river comes that I'm beat, I'm really not expecting the previous 2 streets of action with 22/33/44, he may not even be opening them UTG in the first place. The 7 on the river is a freak occurance, and of course in this particular hand I'd have been better off raising the turn, but in general do you think the way I played this was optimal?
|