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 Originally Posted by shakesss
Thanks guys. In Hand 1 i folded on the turn. He would have less then a half pot sized bet on the river and I didn't think he was gonna check. His turn bet was the determining factor because i expect him to 3b JJ+ in this spot and wasn't sure whether he would bet this much and commit himself with 99-1010 or a random eight. It was also the 4th hand of the session so there was no reason for him to think i was light. I definitely like ur logic though Griffey about him playing a set slower on this board. It is more likely that he would but i didn't have a good handle on his flop check raising range and decided to make a tight fold.
How do we handle the next one, given that we folded the first time?
We still have no read that he is c/r flop as bluff and if you call in hand 1 and fold on the turn he can thinks, that you are calling c/raises on the flop light - so he will not bluff you. And if he is not bluffing, he can has something like this:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 21.340% 21.17% 00.17% 3563 28.50 { AcKc }
Hand 1: 78.660% 78.49% 00.17% 13210 28.50 { JJ, 88, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, KJs, QhTh, Th9h, KJo }
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