Where the fuck are the game rules for rounds 3 to 5?
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04-10-2012 03:36 PM
#76
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Where the fuck are the game rules for rounds 3 to 5? | |
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04-10-2012 03:37 PM
#77
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6 Resistance Members and 4 Imperial Spies. Roles are randomly assigned. Spies will be notified of the other spies' identities. However, no communication outside of the game thread (except for sending me mission PMs) is allowed. | |
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04-10-2012 03:43 PM
#78
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I have no idea. | |
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04-10-2012 03:49 PM
#79
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This is incredibly tough for the rebels. With so many spies, we have to get pretty lucky to win. | |
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04-10-2012 03:54 PM
#80
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The stupidly low probability of getting 4 rebels together for this mission is why I'm sure the strategy needs be based around putting us in a position whereby we somehow have some known rebels by tomorrow. I have no idea how we do this though. | |
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04-10-2012 04:10 PM
#81
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JKDS (leader) - nay | |
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04-10-2012 04:14 PM
#82
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ima rebel btw so pick me! | |
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04-10-2012 05:11 PM
#83
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04-10-2012 05:11 PM
#84
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Lolz, you soulread the wolves last game. Any idea who the spies are? | |
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04-10-2012 05:28 PM
#85
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04-10-2012 05:49 PM
#86
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Same same | |
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04-10-2012 06:54 PM
#87
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my read is easy: jkds picked his team, in which he should have been super happy to go yay since he would think he's rebel, then probability of boog or rilla being spies is really, but he didn't. jkds is an fpsing spy |
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04-10-2012 06:55 PM
#88
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04-10-2012 06:56 PM
#89
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also best out of five not three. DO YOU SEE WHAT HAPPENS WHEN I CANT EDIT |
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04-10-2012 08:15 PM
#90
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I was wondering when someone would bring this up. My reason for voting yay was simple -- it was about a 50/50 chance that we end up with 1 spy in the group (bad outcome) vs. either no spies or 2+ spies (assuming the 2+ spies all vote to kill the mission, either outcome is good for us). Unfortunately we lost that coin toss. | |
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04-10-2012 09:21 PM
#91
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04-10-2012 09:25 PM
#92
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Why is it so hard to believe i just made a mistake? Why cant i have woken up, seen the thread waiting for me to make a team, hastily picked my favorites because theres no reason not to, then realized my mistake due to math just 2 hours later? BTW thats what happened | |
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04-10-2012 10:26 PM
#93
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yay | |
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04-10-2012 10:43 PM
#94
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Are you for real JKDS? From your point of view, you should be telling us that there must be a spy between rilla and boog, but instead you're accepting boog's proposal? JKDS must be a spy, and there must be another on boog's list. I can't see how he doesn't vote nay here, whether spy or rebel, especially since he was so gung ho about me being a spy. | |
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04-10-2012 11:31 PM
#95
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Did u miss where i called rilla a spy? | |
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04-11-2012 12:02 AM
#96
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If boog is a spy, he's unlikely to pick two spies. I actually agree with you that rilla looks more like a spy than boog, but boog has made two posts, while rilla is getting dirty with the maths. I dunno how you can be confident enough that rilla is a spy to give your vote to boog. | |
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04-11-2012 12:15 AM
#97
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I actually thought nothing about how the village would view my group. | |
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04-11-2012 03:59 AM
#98
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So ong, bear with me here. Im gonna talk like wuf for a sec. | |
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04-11-2012 04:06 AM
#99
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In terms of your list boog, i have Ong and Wuf as spies along with Rilla. | |
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04-11-2012 04:08 AM
#100
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rescind yay | |
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04-11-2012 08:36 AM
#101
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I count | |
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04-11-2012 08:40 AM
#102
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nay | |
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04-11-2012 10:25 AM
#103
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Is it that hard to figure out? Boog is more likely to be a spy than anyone other than you and rilla. That's it. That's my game. | |
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04-11-2012 11:00 AM
#104
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This isn't really true, which is why I haven't voted yet -- I'm still trying to wrap my head around this game. As I mentioned before, if we assume that one out of boog/jkds/rilla are spies, then oddly enough there is a better chance of picking a rebel out of that group than the remaining 7. If you actually are a rebel then the numbers get even worse for the remaining players. | |
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04-11-2012 11:24 AM
#105
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You're right gizmo, it's likely there was one spy, and your numbers are indeed correct. Bearing in mind boog is the least likely out of the three, based on reads, he's much less likely to be a spy than any random, including yourself of course. So there's a higher chance of boog being honest in his selestion than gizmo next round. In which case I'll rescind nay and back this mission. | |
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04-11-2012 12:38 PM
#106
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Im getting tired of repeating myself just because you cant understand what im saying. Wikipedia the term "Probability", and catch up to all the americans in this thread that already know what it is. | |
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04-11-2012 12:54 PM
#107
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What do we want to accomplish this mission? Obviously our goal is either (a) get all rebels (win a mission) or (b) get a lot of spies (to help separate the spies from the rebels). The problem with (b) is that some spies could vote for the mission to succeed, so we still wouldn't really know how many spies are in the group (and we'll have to win the next 3 missions in a row to win the game). But the problem with (a) is that we have such a slim chance of getting it right. | |
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04-11-2012 01:20 PM
#108
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<3 JKDS | |
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04-11-2012 01:29 PM
#109
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like i said, im a rebel | |
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04-11-2012 01:52 PM
#110
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JKDS, this is not an argument about understanding probability, it's a petty squabble about whether we factor reads into our maths. Ok so you're mega confident that boog is a rebel, fine, that explains your yay vote. But when I look at it from your point of view, assuming you're a rebel of course, without factoring in how confident your are that boog is a rebel, I see randoms such as gizmo more likely to be a rebel than boog. Your read on rilla and boog shifts this probability significantly, but that's your read, not mine. I have you at something like 50% rebel, rilla 30% boog 20%, but these numbers are plucked out of thin air, there's no basis. That's why I don't apply my reads into my maths, because reads aren't numbers. | |
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04-11-2012 02:00 PM
#111
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So basically, to win its like this | |
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04-11-2012 02:34 PM
#112
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Ong you have to apply reads to this game. Thats the only way the village can win. Flat probability heavily favors the spies, to win the village has to be good at finding them....or just lucky. | |
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04-11-2012 02:37 PM
#113
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yay | |
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04-11-2012 03:24 PM
#114
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It is indeed the worst case but it isn't that bad perse, as long as we can use reads to single out the one spy. Take for example that our next mission is a success, this could mean we luckboxed 4 rebels (best case scenario, if this happens then we are sitting pretty to win) but can also mean we got 2 (or 3 but this is unlikely) spies, in which case it gets quite complicated. | |
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04-11-2012 03:32 PM
#115
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JKDS -- how am I more likely a spy than someone like lolzzz, who's only posts so far are "I'm a rebel"? | |
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04-11-2012 04:18 PM
#116
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rescind | |
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04-11-2012 04:19 PM
#117
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My above post begins talking to JV. That wasnt clear | |
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04-11-2012 04:23 PM
#118
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I really like a group of JKDS, JV, Boog, but i dont know about the third. I can be ok with NG | |
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04-11-2012 04:29 PM
#119
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This is what happens when I soulread y'all with a spliff and cuppa... | |
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04-11-2012 04:33 PM
#120
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I'm fine with having a pre-picked team when I'm leader. I'd prefer to be on it, since I know I'm a rebel. But I'd like to get a decent consensus, to make sure spies aren't having too much sway on the decision. | |
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04-11-2012 04:41 PM
#121
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More interesting probabilities: | |
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04-11-2012 05:16 PM
#122
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Yeah but having a village consensus still beats out having one person decide on his own, for two reasons: having a spy make a mission is really detrimental, and even if a rebel makes a mission there is no saying he'll do better than a consensus, and if we do it with a consensus atleast we know it isn't spy-made plus we know a consensus is made with atleast a majority of rebels. | |
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04-11-2012 05:34 PM
#123
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i'm a rebel but have been busy as hell this week and quite frankly, i have no idea how to play this game. | |
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04-11-2012 06:16 PM
#124
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more nays than yays looks like spies dont like it |
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04-11-2012 06:59 PM
#125
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Vote (I think) | |
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04-11-2012 07:13 PM
#126
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yikes, me being 50% of the nays pretty much proves to me the spies don't like this one |
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04-11-2012 07:13 PM
#127
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^^^ meant to say "me being 50% of the yays" |
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04-11-2012 08:29 PM
#128
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just checked and boog isnt on this round, i thought he was or something. my bad |
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04-11-2012 09:18 PM
#129
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04-11-2012 10:38 PM
#130
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@Boog: its only fishy if you believe me to be a spy. | |
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04-11-2012 10:39 PM
#131
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The three of them are also all ppl that commonly encourage talking on day 1s. Not a one did this game. Another oddity since its a new game and discussing how we should act and proceed is something that should be clear | |
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04-11-2012 11:20 PM
#132
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it's a diff game than ww homes |
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04-11-2012 11:29 PM
#133
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my first guess is spies are jkds lolz and two of the three on the mission |
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04-11-2012 11:46 PM
#134
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Ya, i can see why a spy would want to ignore my attack entirely and just keep pursuing a "JKDS is evil" agenda. | |
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04-12-2012 12:09 AM
#135
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it is much more likely that the spies either vote nay or dont vote at all based on the mission being a bad one for them than it being okay for them but they are still voting in non-committal ways. due to them not being able to speak with each other |
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04-12-2012 12:14 AM
#136
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rebels are likely to not vote or vote nay because they dont wanna be tricked. but the spies dont have that to worry about, and they would have to all independently find a reason to not attempt to have this mission go forward if it was a good one for them |
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04-12-2012 02:37 AM
#137
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Nonsense. | |
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04-12-2012 06:21 AM
#138
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04-12-2012 11:14 AM
#139
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I think we're all so used to playing WW, and the low participation is because most people don't know what to do or what the best stategy is, this being the first time we play this game and all.. | |
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04-12-2012 11:15 AM
#140
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This game is a race to identifying 4 rebs. It's going to be impossible to bingo a team of 4 and only 4 rebs. So in light of that, we need to aim at getting too many spies on a mission. If we can get any configuration which isn't 1 and only 1 spy, the discussion around the mission should be rich with info. | |
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04-12-2012 11:18 AM
#141
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04-12-2012 05:06 PM
#142
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ima rebel | |
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04-12-2012 05:08 PM
#143
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04-12-2012 05:17 PM
#144
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04-12-2012 06:03 PM
#145
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Sorry, my mistake, if you tell me you're a rebel then I believe you. | |
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04-12-2012 06:04 PM
#146
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04-12-2012 06:06 PM
#147
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I too miss the lynchings. | |
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04-12-2012 10:31 PM
#148
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I guess the village is | |
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04-13-2012 12:54 AM
#149
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This game could be fun with a vig. | |
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04-13-2012 01:01 AM
#150
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Maybe it'll help to get a move on then.. | |
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