[10NL] AJo in BB...Good spot for a squeeze?

[MadMojoMonkey]

MP hasn't shown he knows how to call a 3bet yet, so it looks like it's going to be AJo playing IP vs. SB, which is a good spot.

I don't think worrying about MP calling should change the justifiably wide 3-betting range from BB. Even with such a small sample, the 100% fold to 3-bet seems worth exploiting with a decent range, certainly all PP's, Axs, SC's and S1G's, AKo, AQo certainly, and AJo isn't a huge stretch to be 3-betting with.

As has been noted, if MP doesn't fold, then his range is too strong against AJ and Hero's best case scenario is to bink an A and go for cheap showdown, expecting most of the time Hero will be dominated.

I do think the fold equity pre is worth the poor playability of this hand post. It's not as if AJo is Hero's entire range here.

[Savy]

MP hasn't shown he knows how to call a 3bet yet, so it looks like it's going to be AJo playing IP vs. SB, which is a good spot.

4/4 really isn't a sample to be drawing any huge conclusions from. I don't see why we'd want to be 3betting as much as most people think we should be.

[MadMojoMonkey]

4/4 really isn't a sample to be drawing any huge conclusions from.

Obvious troll. Subtle leanings are just as important as huge conclusions as long as you keep perspective.

I don't see why we'd want to be 3betting as much as most people think we should be.

The -100bb/100 for folding forces us to play a wider range than position alone makes sensible.

The wide range means we are playing with hands that don't generally play well OOP, but even still, the EV is better than -100bb/100.

Playing speculative hands w/o initiative or position is, in general, throwing chips away.

So we respond by widening our 3-betting range while thinning our calling range, always keeping in mind how we exploit the villains in the hand.

[Savy]

Obvious troll. Subtle leanings are just as important as huge conclusions as long as you keep perspective.


The -100bb/100 for folding forces us to play a wider range than position alone makes sensible.

The wide range means we are playing with hands that don't generally play well OOP, but even still, the EV is better than -100bb/100.

Playing speculative hands w/o initiative or position is, in general, throwing chips away.

So we respond by widening our 3-betting range while thinning our calling range, always keeping in mind how we exploit the villains in the hand.

A fold to 3bet stat should be pretty high, if we're assuming it's somewhere around 0.7 that's like 25% of the time he folds 4 hands in row to a 3bet, which isn't going to be massively exploitable yet for some people this is justification that he is massively exploitable.

I understand all the rest but there are lots of better hands to 3bet imo than AJo, so even if we are having a pretty wide 3bet range in this spot (and I don't like calling much) I don't think AJo falls into it.