... and I offered my opinion as to why that is, but you didn't answer my question.
Specifically, the final
line of my previous
post.
I suspect that the general answer to your
own question coincides with the reason that you have not followed those 5 steps.
(No judgement from me. Like I said, I'
m a geek about this stuff.)
For what ever reason, I told you exactly how to do this, but you have not yet (given me any sign that you have) done it.
I suspect this is indicative of a common theme. Whatever your
own reasons for not doing this are probably a lot of people's reasons for not doing it.
I mean... there's a lot of guess work when it comes to an actual calculation. You have to guess
Villain's ranges for each decision point, and no one likes to know they're wasting time chasing down a solution based on a handful of guesses. However, it is by doing exactly this over and over that you build your skills in doing it. Eventually, you see all sorts of patterns in the calculations and you can make quick educated guesses as to the "ballpark" of the answer w/o doing the full calc. That's when the time spent studying transfers to live skills at the table.