Quote Originally Posted by mojo
But to turn his troops toward Moscow? C'mon. That's suicide.
I would have agreed with this before he seemingly marched on Moscow and didn't die. The Kremlin responded by telling people not to go to work, instead of sending the army out to greet the approaching convoy. Any strong regime would respond to such a threat with immediate force. That didn't happen. So for whatever reason they were unable to deal with this threat.

This Wagner group are apparently 50k strong, which isn't huge by state standards. It's a very large private army but miniscule compared to Russia's. And Wagner are deployed around the world. So why didn't Russia respond with force? Are their military resources so stretched that they couldn't deal a simple convoy? That suggests they haven't got much fighting left in them in Ukraine. Is Prigozhin influential enough and Putin weak enough that Putin was concerned that his forces would disobey him or even defect to Wagner? That suggests a revolution is inevitable.

There's really no way that Putin emerges from this looking like the strong leader he was viewed as before.