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 Originally Posted by OngBonga
Reform got 4 seats with more votes than the Lib Dems, who got 72 seats. I wouldn't be fistpumping that if I thought they were a bunch of racists.
They're not ALL racists, but enough of them are that it's a big problem with their party.
 Originally Posted by OngBonga
One of two things happens with Reform. Either the Conservatives sort their shit out, move back to the centre right, and win back the vote they lost to Reform, which renders Reform redundant, much like UKIP after Brexit. Or, and this is a very real possibility, the Conservatives are basically a dying party and their vote could move en masse to Reform at the next election.
The Tories will never die in this country, despite themselves. They have two options: stay as they are now, basically trying to appeal to the superrich and the racists, while pretending to care about working class people. In that case they'll continue to split the right wing vote with Reform. Or, they go back to the center in which case they will have a chance of governing again someday.
The two parties aren't going to merge into some super right wing bloc, because they're just too different. Can you see the Times writing Op Eds in favour of a Toreform party? No way. They'd throw their support behind the LibDems before they did that.
 Originally Posted by OngBonga
Given Reform got enough votes to win 70+ seats if only their supporters didn't happen to be spread more evenly around the country rather than concentrated in particular regions, I think they have to be taken seriously.
Yes but those people aren't diehard supporters, they're disaffected Tory voters who don't like the current iteration of incompetence and chaos in the Tory party, but who won't vote Labour because they think they're a bunch of commies. It's basically a protest vote against the Tories, just like votes for Lid Dems are.
Neither Reform nor Toreform will ever get enough votes to form a gov't. The population is just too centrist, too conservative, and too reverent towards the establishment to start voting en masse for extremists. Maybe in 100 years, but not in this century.
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