|
 Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
'I don't feel like I can call either, because I won't have enough left on the turn to make a meaningful bet if the HJ is drawing, and if I call I give the HJ like 4:1 to call.'
'can never fold out better, so I don't want to jam'
notice the fault in your logic here?
Not really, and I've been thinking about it for quite a while! I am sure there is a fault, I just can't see what it is.
Let's give the HJ [KJs+,KhTh,Kh9h,QJs,QhTh,JhTh,KJo+,QJo] then he has 22% vs my hand. If I flat the SB's shove, he can correctly call with quite a wide range of hands that have a decent amount of equity against me, if he won't call with a bare gutter he's got more like 32%, so even when I jam he's not far from being able to call correctly.
Perhaps what you're saying is that if I flat I really under-rep my hand and can look more like a draw (even though preflop doesn't really fit with this) and the CO can then jam worse believing my call to be dead money? As Griffey said, it's probably quite a fine line, but I think if I flat I have just enough left that MP could conceivably feel like he still has some fold equity if he jams.
|