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300bb deep, OOP, bloated pot - flop goes crazy

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  1. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Micro2Macro View Post
    'I don't feel like I can call either, because I won't have enough left on the turn to make a meaningful bet if the HJ is drawing, and if I call I give the HJ like 4:1 to call.'

    'can never fold out better, so I don't want to jam'

    notice the fault in your logic here?
    Not really, and I've been thinking about it for quite a while! I am sure there is a fault, I just can't see what it is.

    Let's give the HJ [KJs+,KhTh,Kh9h,QJs,QhTh,JhTh,KJo+,QJo] then he has 22% vs my hand. If I flat the SB's shove, he can correctly call with quite a wide range of hands that have a decent amount of equity against me, if he won't call with a bare gutter he's got more like 32%, so even when I jam he's not far from being able to call correctly.

    Perhaps what you're saying is that if I flat I really under-rep my hand and can look more like a draw (even though preflop doesn't really fit with this) and the CO can then jam worse believing my call to be dead money? As Griffey said, it's probably quite a fine line, but I think if I flat I have just enough left that MP could conceivably feel like he still has some fold equity if he jams.
    Last edited by BorisTheSpider; 10-09-2013 at 09:45 AM.

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